Yeovil 3-1 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Oct 2024

Yeovil
3-1 HT 1-1
Maidenhead United
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Yeovil vs Maidenhead United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
3.82
6+ Goals
7%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 37% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.1
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
16%
4.73
X/2
13%
6.35
X/X
14%
4.46
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
13%
4.69
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yeovil v Maidenhead United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
0.87/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.55
-43% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Yeovil vs Maidenhead United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Maidenhead United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.02.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-0 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
08.11.2022 Yeovil Yeovil 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
22.02.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 1-1 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
05.10.2021 Yeovil Yeovil 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
18.05.2021 Yeovil Yeovil 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
27.01.2021 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 4-2 HT 1-1 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL

Yeovil 3-1 Maidenhead United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeovil
3-1
AWAY Maidenhead United
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeovil got the better of Maidenhead United 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yeovil as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yeovil had 56% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 44%, shots finished 12-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidenhead United led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Yeovil and 1.17 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs Maidenhead United?

Yeovil 3-1 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeovil win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 41%, draw 28%, Maidenhead United 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yeovil) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yeovil) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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