Worthing 4-3 Slough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Slough Town EU Bookmakers 36%
-13% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.97/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.62
+32% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Slough Town
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.01.2024 Worthing Worthing 1-1 HT 0-1 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
15.08.2023 Slough Town Slough Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Worthing Worthing İCON
04.03.2023 Slough Town Slough Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
29.10.2022 Worthing Worthing 2-2 HT 1-1 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
17.09.2022 Slough Town Slough Town 1-3 HT 0-0 Worthing Worthing FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
4-3
AWAY Slough Town
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Slough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing squeezed past Slough Town 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Worthing made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Worthing had 46% of the ball to Slough Town's 54%, shots finished 13-18.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Worthing had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Worthing and 1.20 for Slough Town.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Slough Town?

Worthing 4-3 Slough Town in the England - Conference on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Slough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Worthing 38%, draw 25%, Slough Town 37%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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