Valmiera / BSS vs FS Jelgava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valmiera / BSS v FS Jelgava — Team-Based Signals
Valmiera / BSS vs FS Jelgava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Valmiera / BSS
LET
2-2
HT 1-0
FS Jelgava
LET
2-0
HT 0-0
Valmiera / BSS
LET
Valmiera / BSS 3-2 FS Jelgava — Actual Match Statistics
Valmiera / BSS edged past FS Jelgava 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Valmiera / BSS as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Valmiera / BSS had 61% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 39%, shots finished 28-19, expected goals 3.61 to 1.33 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Valmiera / BSS's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Valmiera / BSS and 0.67 for FS Jelgava.
What was the final score of Valmiera / BSS vs FS Jelgava?
Valmiera / BSS 3-2 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valmiera / BSS vs FS Jelgava?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Valmiera / BSS 63%, draw 20%, FS Jelgava 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.