UE Santa Coloma 1-1 Penya Encarnada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.03
No
44%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
32%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
45%
+10.3pp
44%
BTTS No
55%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UE Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.35/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.13
-23% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UE Santa Coloma
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Penya Encarnada
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.04.2025 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-2 HT 1-2 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
30.11.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 2-0 HT 1-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
27.10.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 2-1 HT 1-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
13.04.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 1-1 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
17.03.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 1-0 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada ANDK
18.02.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-0 HT 0-0 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UE Santa Coloma
1-1
AWAY Penya Encarnada
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UE Santa Coloma and Penya Encarnada couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. UE Santa Coloma carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UE Santa Coloma had 49% of the ball to Penya Encarnada's 51%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UE Santa Coloma had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UE Santa Coloma and 0.67 for Penya Encarnada.

What was the final score of UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada?

UE Santa Coloma 1-1 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada?

Before kick-off our model rated a UE Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split UE Santa Coloma 60%, draw 24%, Penya Encarnada 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UE Santa Coloma), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UE Santa Coloma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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