Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wellington Phoenix v Brisbane Roar — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-2
HT 2-1
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Brisbane Roar — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix edged past Brisbane Roar 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Wellington Phoenix made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Wellington Phoenix had 64% of the ball to Brisbane Roar's 36%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.55 to 0.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wellington Phoenix and 0.83 for Brisbane Roar.
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar?
Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix 39%, draw 26%, Brisbane Roar 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.