FAS 2-2 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 26 Oct 2025

FAS
2-2 HT 2-2
Alianza
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
38%
-7.8pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.14/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.88
-2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alianza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
25.08.2025 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 1-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
06.04.2025 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 1-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
09.02.2025 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
17.11.2024 FAS FAS 4-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
15.09.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
22.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-1 HT 1-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS and Alianza couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FAS and 1.33 for Alianza.

What was the final score of FAS vs Alianza?

FAS 2-2 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FAS 31%, draw 30%, Alianza 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alianza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ BTTS Yes
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