Municipal 4-1 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.25
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.15
Over 2.5
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
76%
-3.7pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.3pp
10%
Away Win
7%
+3.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.3pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
2.23/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.20
+17% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
418 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Malacateco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 2-3 HT 2-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
07.04.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 0-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
02.02.2025 Municipal Municipal 4-2 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
27.10.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 4-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
11.08.2024 Municipal Municipal 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
28.04.2024 Municipal Municipal 4-0 HT 3-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal ran out comfortable winners over Malacateco 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Municipal and 1.33 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Malacateco?

Municipal 4-1 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Municipal 72%, draw 17%, Malacateco 10%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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