Gornik Zabrze vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gornik Zabrze v Jagiellonia Bialystok — Team-Based Signals
Gornik Zabrze vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 3-1
Gornik Zabrze
POL
2-1
HT 2-1
Gornik Zabrze
POL
1-1
HT 0-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
Gornik Zabrze 2-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Actual Match Statistics
Gornik Zabrze squeezed past Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Gornik Zabrze as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 41% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 59%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 2.86 to 1.09 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Gornik Zabrze's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 1.83 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.
What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Gornik Zabrze 2-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 43%, draw 27%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Zabrze), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.