Legia Varşova 0-0 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.0
6+ Goals
9%
9.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 30% vs market 20.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.86
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
18%
5.02
X/2
7%
7.04
X/X
10%
5.2
2/1
11%
23.1
2/2
14%
4.83
2/X
10%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.45/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.55
-33% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
22.4 Crosses 15.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lech Poznan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.31 xG 1.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 Passes 333
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2025 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-2 HT 0-2 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova PLS
11.05.2025 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-1 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
10.11.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 5-2 HT 2-2 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
12.05.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-2 HT 0-2 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
12.11.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
16.04.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-2 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
0-0
AWAY Lech Poznan
0.60 xG 0.58
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
343 Passes 382
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 22
29 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Lech Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova and Lech Poznan played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 48% of the ball to Lech Poznan's 52%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.60 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.67 for Lech Poznan.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Lech Poznan?

Legia Varşova 0-0 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Lech Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 47%, draw 25%, Lech Poznan 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Legia Varşova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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