Olimpija Ljubljana 1-2 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
68%
-4.3pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.4pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.10/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.06
-9% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Domzale
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Domzale Domzale 1-3 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
19.04.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
05.03.2025 Domzale Domzale 3-1 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
27.10.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 3-0 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
11.08.2024 Domzale Domzale 0-0 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
14.04.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-3 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
1-2
AWAY Domzale
76% Ball Possession 24%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Domzale nicked a narrow win over Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Olimpija Ljubljana at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 76% of the ball to Domzale's 24%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 0.83 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Domzale?

Olimpija Ljubljana 1-2 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 64%, draw 19%, Domzale 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
26 Oct 2025
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