Mura vs Celje Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mura v Celje — Team-Based Signals
Mura vs Celje Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mura 2-1 Celje — Actual Match Statistics
Mura edged past Celje 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Celje at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Mura had 32% of the ball to Celje's 68%, shots finished 8-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mura and 2.00 for Celje.
What was the final score of Mura vs Celje?
Mura 2-1 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mura vs Celje?
Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Mura 14%, draw 20%, Celje 66%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celje) went the other way.