Celje 3-0 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2025

Celje
3-0 HT 1-0
Mura
📅10/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.28
Draw
13%
5.28
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.61
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.66
2-3 Goals
35%
2.02
4-5 Goals
31%
2.47
6+ Goals
15%
5.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
74%
+1.7pp
13%
Draw
16%
-3.0pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+1.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -16%
2.34/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.37
+7% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -12%
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
472 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mura
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
16.02.2025 Mura Mura 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
19.10.2024 Celje Celje 4-3 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
03.08.2024 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
06.04.2024 Mura Mura 1-3 HT 1-2 Celje Celje SLVN
11.02.2024 Celje Celje 4-1 HT 2-1 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
3-0
AWAY Mura
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celje vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje swept aside Mura 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Celje had 60% of the ball to Mura's 40%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Celje and 1.17 for Mura.

What was the final score of Celje vs Mura?

Celje 3-0 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Celje 76%, draw 13%, Mura 11%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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