Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monagas v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals
Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Deportivo La Guaira
VEN
Monagas 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo La Guaira nicked a narrow win over Monagas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Monagas had 51% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 49%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.92 to 0.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Monagas and 1.50 for Deportivo La Guaira.
What was the final score of Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Monagas 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Monagas 28%, draw 27%, Deportivo La Guaira 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.