Bath City 1-0 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.6
Over
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.53
2-3
39%
1.8
4-5
21%
4.79
6+
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury The Market 34%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.23/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/2.01
-12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Salisbury
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.09.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 1-2 Bath City Bath City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bath City
1-0
AWAY Salisbury
30% Ball Possession 70%
3 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bath City squeezed past Salisbury 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Bath City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bath City had 30% of the ball to Salisbury's 70%, shots finished 3-11.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Salisbury?

Bath City 1-0 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bath City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bath City 36%, draw 31%, Salisbury 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bath City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bath City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
26 Nov 2024
22:45 Chester vs Oxford City Analysis →
22:45 Chippenham Town vs Slough Town Analysis →
22:45 Enfield Town vs AFC Hornchurch Analysis →
22:45 Farnborough vs Worthing Analysis →
22:45 Weymouth vs Truro City Analysis →
22:45 Maidstone United vs Eastbourne Borough Analysis →