Saburtalo 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 26 Nov 2025

📅26/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.71/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.25
+21% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2025 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 HT 1-1 Saburtalo GUR
20.05.2025 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
09.04.2025 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-2 HT 0-2 Saburtalo GUR
01.11.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-2 HT 0-2 Saburtalo GUR
25.08.2024 Saburtalo 3-0 HT 3-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
10.05.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
1-0
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Dinamo Tbilisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo edged past Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Saburtalo had 65% of the ball to Dinamo Tbilisi's 35%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Saburtalo and 0.67 for Dinamo Tbilisi.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Saburtalo 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 26/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 49%, draw 24%, Dinamo Tbilisi 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUR More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga
26 Nov 2025
18:00 Torpedo Kutaisi vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti Analysis →
18:00 Dila Gori vs Samgurali Analysis →