Curzon Ashton vs Farsley AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Curzon Ashton v Farsley AFC — Team-Based Signals
Curzon Ashton vs Farsley AFC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Curzon Ashton
İCON
5-2
HT 3-1
Farsley AFC
İCON
1-1
HT 1-0
Curzon Ashton
İCON
1-2
HT 0-2
Farsley AFC
İCON
2-0
HT 0-0
Curzon Ashton
İCON
Curzon Ashton 1-3 Farsley AFC — Actual Match Statistics
Farsley AFC saw off Curzon Ashton 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
This one beat our numbers. Curzon Ashton carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Curzon Ashton had 67% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 33%, shots finished 13-17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farsley AFC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Curzon Ashton and 1.50 for Farsley AFC.
What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Farsley AFC?
Curzon Ashton 1-3 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Farsley AFC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 58%, draw 28%, Farsley AFC 15%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.