Peterborough Sports 0-1 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.74
Over
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.67
2-3
38%
1.71
4-5
20%
3.92
6+
9%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.67 — our 33% vs market 29.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-6.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 56%
-14% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
0.92/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.98
-25% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
211 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-1 HT 0-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
12.08.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
0-1
AWAY Scunthorpe United
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United squeezed past Peterborough Sports 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Scunthorpe United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 50% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 50%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Scunthorpe United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Peterborough Sports and 1.00 for Scunthorpe United.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Scunthorpe United?

Peterborough Sports 0-1 Scunthorpe United in the England - Conference on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 28%, draw 27%, Scunthorpe United 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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