Spennymoor Town 1-1 South Shields — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.1
Over
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.84
2-3
41%
1.79
4-5
24%
2.93
6+
9%
9.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY South Shields EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.48/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.58
-11% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY South Shields
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
16.11.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-1 HT 2-1 South Shields South Shields İNFAT
29.03.2024 South Shields South Shields 2-0 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
14.11.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-5 HT 1-2 South Shields South Shields İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
1-1
AWAY South Shields
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs South Shields
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town and South Shields shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Spennymoor Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 45% of the ball to South Shields's 55%, shots finished 12-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, South Shields led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Spennymoor Town and 2.67 for South Shields.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs South Shields?

Spennymoor Town 1-1 South Shields in the England - Conference on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs South Shields?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 45%, draw 28%, South Shields 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spennymoor Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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