Peterborough United 0-3 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 26 Dec 2024

Peterborough United
0-3 HT 0-3
Mansfield Town
📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Peterborough United vs Mansfield Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.61
6+ Goals
13%
6.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.88
1/2
7%
23.4
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
15%
6.43
X/2
9%
5.52
X/X
8%
5.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
26.5
2/2
19%
3.13
2/X
9%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+6.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.9pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United v Mansfield Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.37/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.17
+49% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
367 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
17.9 Crosses 17.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Peterborough United vs Mansfield Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.39 xG 3.34
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
448 Passes 340
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
43 Box Touches 25
28 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.09.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İNLK
26.12.2007 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN2
09.09.2007 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
09.04.2007 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
18.11.2006 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN2
17.12.2005 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN2

Peterborough United 0-3 Mansfield Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
0-3
AWAY Mansfield Town
0.24 xG 2.13
64% Ball Possession 36%
6 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 14
479 Passes 205
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
10 Box Touches 45
2 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town ran out comfortable winners over Peterborough United 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Peterborough United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Peterborough United had 64% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 36%, shots finished 6-24, expected goals 0.24 to 2.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Peterborough United and 0.83 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Mansfield Town?

Peterborough United 0-3 Mansfield Town in the England - 1st Division on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 41%, draw 24%, Mansfield Town 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Peterborough United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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