Rotherham United 0-1 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 31% vs market 29.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.06
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.6
X/1
16%
4.65
X/2
12%
6.74
X/X
12%
4.22
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
10%
5.17
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -6%
1.65/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.28
-1% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
253 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 72%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
29.0 Crosses 16.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotherham United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.72 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
191 Passes 228
66% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
01.10.2022 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-2 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İNCL
18.02.2022 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-1 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
14.08.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
09.02.2019 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-1 HT 1-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İNCL
01.09.2018 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotherham United
0-1
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.79 xG 0.86
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 Passes 323
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rotherham United vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic squeezed past Rotherham United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Rotherham United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Rotherham United had 49% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 51%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.79 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Rotherham United and 1.00 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Rotherham United vs Wigan Athletic?

Rotherham United 0-1 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotherham United vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotherham United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rotherham United 43%, draw 28%, Wigan Athletic 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rotherham United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rotherham United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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