Hartlepool United 1-2 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Dec 2025

Hartlepool United
1-2 HT 0-0
Scunthorpe United
📅26/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Hartlepool United vs Scunthorpe United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.23
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
10%
5.36
X/2
13%
6.48
X/X
10%
5.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.85
2/2
14%
4.32
2/X
8%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartlepool United v Scunthorpe United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.38/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.61
-4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
89 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 174 · 89%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8

Hartlepool United vs Scunthorpe United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.65 xG 0.82
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
322 Passes 244
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
40 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.07.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 0-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United HAZ
30.04.2022 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
11.12.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN2
21.07.2015 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-4 HT 0-2 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United HAZ
01.02.2014 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN2
26.10.2013 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United nicked a narrow win over Hartlepool United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Scunthorpe United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Scunthorpe United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.17 for Scunthorpe United.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Scunthorpe United?

Hartlepool United 1-2 Scunthorpe United in the England - National League on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 37%, draw 28%, Scunthorpe United 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hartlepool United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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