Hartlepool United 2-1 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
48%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
45%
-17.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
48%
Away Win
31%
+17.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.6pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +80%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.65 xG 0.82
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
322 Passes 244
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
40 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2022 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
11.12.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN2
21.07.2015 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-4 HT 0-2 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United HAZ
01.02.2014 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN2
26.10.2013 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
23.02.2013 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-2 HT 0-2 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
2-1
AWAY Scunthorpe United
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United squeezed past Scunthorpe United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Scunthorpe United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 59% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 41%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Scunthorpe United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.17 for Scunthorpe United.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Scunthorpe United?

Hartlepool United 2-1 Scunthorpe United in the Friendlies on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 28%, draw 24%, Scunthorpe United 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Scunthorpe United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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