AFC Fylde 1-0 Barrow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
49%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
20%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
49%
Away Win
57%
-8.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Barrow EU Bookmakers 61%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.81/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/1.00
+48% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +17%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
263 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Barrow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
01.01.2020 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-1 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İBSL
26.12.2019 Barrow Barrow 1-1 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
01.01.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-0 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İBSL
26.12.2018 Barrow Barrow 1-1 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
03.04.2018 Barrow Barrow 1-3 HT 1-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
28.08.2017 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-0 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İBSL
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Barrow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde edged past Barrow 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Barrow at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Fylde and 0.67 for Barrow.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Barrow?

AFC Fylde 1-0 Barrow in the Friendlies on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Barrow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 24%, draw 27%, Barrow 49%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barrow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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