Cagliari 2-0 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 29% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
2-0
AWAY Catanzaro
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Cagliari vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari beat Catanzaro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cagliari as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cagliari had 53% of the ball to Catanzaro's 47%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Cagliari vs Catanzaro?

Cagliari 2-0 Catanzaro in the Friendlies on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cagliari win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 49%, draw 25%, Catanzaro 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cagliari) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cagliari)
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