Lille 3-1 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2024

Lille
3-1 HT 3-1
Celta Vigo
📅30/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Lille vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.97
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
12%
4.77
X/2
9%
6.62
X/X
15%
4.73
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
20%
4.7
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-8.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lille v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lille EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +21%
2.00/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.82
+24% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +82%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Lille vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lille
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Celta Vigo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
The Meetings
27.07.2019 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-0 HT 0-0 Lille Lille HAZ
POST-MATCH Lille vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille beat Celta Vigo 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Lille made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Lille vs Celta Vigo?

Lille 3-1 Celta Vigo in the Friendlies on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lille vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lille 36%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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