Hoffenheim 2-2 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2024

Hoffenheim
2-2 HT 2-0
Norwich City
📅30/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Hoffenheim vs Norwich City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.94
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
16%
5.08
X/2
7%
6.74
X/X
8%
5.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.6
2/2
16%
4.37
2/X
9%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hoffenheim v Norwich City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.19/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.75
+36% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

Hoffenheim 2-2 Norwich City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim
2-2
AWAY Norwich City
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim and Norwich City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hoffenheim at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hoffenheim had 54% of the ball to Norwich City's 46%, shots finished 13-15.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs Norwich City?

Hoffenheim 2-2 Norwich City in the Friendlies on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 47%, draw 24%, Norwich City 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoffenheim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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