Dover Athletic 1-0 Slough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.65
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
46%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.21
Over
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.27
2-3
37%
1.83
4-5
27%
2.82
6+
9%
8.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
18%
+12.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
46%
Away Win
60%
-14.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Slough Town EU Bookmakers 64%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.53/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-58% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dover Athletic
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Slough Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
12.08.2023 Slough Town Slough Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
04.02.2023 Slough Town Slough Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
15.10.2022 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 3-0 HT 1-0 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dover Athletic
1-0
AWAY Slough Town
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dover Athletic vs Slough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dover Athletic nicked a narrow win over Slough Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Slough Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dover Athletic had 46% of the ball to Slough Town's 54%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dover Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dover Athletic and 0.67 for Slough Town.

What was the final score of Dover Athletic vs Slough Town?

Dover Athletic 1-0 Slough Town in the England - Conference on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dover Athletic vs Slough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dover Athletic 30%, draw 24%, Slough Town 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slough Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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