Sheffield United 2-5 Brighton & Hove Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 27 Jan 2024

Sheffield United
2-5 HT 2-2
Brighton & Hove Albion
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2023/2024

Sheffield United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
44%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.26
1/2
6%
21.0
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
8%
10.05
X/2
16%
4.02
X/X
13%
5.84
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.05
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+8.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
44%
Away Win
56%
-12.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield United v Brighton & Hove Albion — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 61%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.68/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.89/0.59
-25% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +90%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 82%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.3
18.0 Crosses 9.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Sheffield United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield United
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.05 xG 1.62
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
248 Passes 457
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 HT 1-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
24.04.2021 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-0 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
20.12.2020 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
22.02.2020 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-1 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
21.12.2019 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-1 HT 0-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
21.01.2006 Sheffield United Sheffield United 3-1 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNCL

Sheffield United 2-5 Brighton & Hove Albion — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield United
2-5
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
2.30 xG 1.96
31% Ball Possession 69%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
290 Passes 755
82% Pass Accuracy 93%
29 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sheffield United vs Brighton & Hove Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion cruised past Sheffield United 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brighton & Hove Albion as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sheffield United had 31% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 69%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.30 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sheffield United and 0.67 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Sheffield United 2-5 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - FA Cup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 30%, draw 26%, Brighton & Hove Albion 44%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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