Pontardawe Town FC 3-6 Caerau (Ely) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Jan 2024

Pontardawe Town FC
3-6 HT 1-2
Caerau (Ely)
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Pontardawe Town FC vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.32
No
35%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.2pp
65%
BTTS Yes
72%
-6.5pp
35%
BTTS No
28%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pontardawe Town FC v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontardawe Town FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
2.09/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/3.00
+9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -48%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
406 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Pontardawe Town FC vs Caerau (Ely)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) ran out comfortable winners over Pontardawe Town FC 6-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Caerau (Ely) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Pontardawe Town FC vs Caerau (Ely)?

Pontardawe Town FC 3-6 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontardawe Town FC vs Caerau (Ely)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pontardawe Town FC 37%, draw 24%, Caerau (Ely) 39%. The final score 3-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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