Muharraq 3-0 Al Shabab Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 27 Jan 2026

📅27/01/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.29
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.87
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.35 — our 31% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
73%
-3.8pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.9pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +16%
2.01/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.43
+5% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +39%
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
483 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-3 HT 0-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
04.03.2025 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-2 HT 1-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
27.02.2025 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAHKK
22.09.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
15.04.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
18.03.2024 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
3-0
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Al Shabab Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq swept aside Al Shabab Manama 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Muharraq had 65% of the ball to Al Shabab Manama's 35%, shots finished 21-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Muharraq and 0.67 for Al Shabab Manama.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Al Shabab Manama?

Muharraq 3-0 Al Shabab Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Al Shabab Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 69%, draw 19%, Al Shabab Manama 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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