Ajax II 5-1 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.18
Over
60%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
1.51
No
39%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.1
2-3
45%
1.81
4-5
28%
2.8
6+
8%
8.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.39
1/2
2%
25.0
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
14%
5.66
X/2
13%
6.0
X/X
14%
5.39
2/1
3%
23.95
2/2
20%
3.71
2/X
5%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.95 — our 3% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ajax II The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport The Market 39%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.57 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.36
1.64 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.67
Average Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
425 Passes 300
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2025 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-1 HT 1-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
28.04.2025 Ajax II Ajax II 1-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
04.10.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
19.04.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-1 HT 2-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
27.11.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 4-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
27.01.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
5 - 1
AWAY Helmond Sport
2.78 xG 0.65
38% Ball Possession 62%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
281 Passes 451
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Box Touches 27
6 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Ajax II vs Helmond Sport
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ajax II made light work of Helmond Sport 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ajax II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Ajax II had 38% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 62%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.78 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ajax II and 1.33 for Helmond Sport.

Ajax II vs Helmond Sport Result & Final Score

Ajax II 5 - 1 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ajax II vs Helmond Sport Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 41%, draw 24%, Helmond Sport 35%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajax II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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