MVV Maastricht vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
MVV Maastricht v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
MVV Maastricht vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
MVV Maastricht 3-3 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
MVV Maastricht and De Graafschap shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
File this under upsets: a 63% lean on De Graafschap went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (65%) came in.
The match data tells the story: MVV Maastricht had 31% of the ball to De Graafschap's 69%, shots finished 18-26, expected goals 1.16 to 2.46.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.17 for De Graafschap.
MVV Maastricht vs De Graafschap Result & Final Score
MVV Maastricht 3 - 3 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
MVV Maastricht vs De Graafschap Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 18%, draw 19%, De Graafschap 63%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (De Graafschap) went the other way.