Zalgiris Vilnius 4-1 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.75
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+4.1pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.2pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.52/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.69
-18% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FK Panevezys
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 3-1 HT 2-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
31.08.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
29.06.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-4 HT 2-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
25.04.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 HT 2-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
03.11.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-4 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
11.08.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
4-1
AWAY FK Panevezys
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius cruised past FK Panevezys 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 57% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 43%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 2.17 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevezys?

Zalgiris Vilnius 4-1 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 58%, draw 19%, FK Panevezys 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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