Aguila vs Dragon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aguila v Dragon — Team-Based Signals
Aguila vs Dragon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Aguila
ELSAL
Aguila swept aside Dragon 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Aguila and 0.50 for Dragon.
What was the final score of Aguila vs Dragon?
Aguila 4-1 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aguila vs Dragon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Aguila 54%, draw 25%, Dragon 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.