Qviding FIF 3-3 Jonsereds IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.98
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.3pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.8pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qviding FIF EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Jonsereds IF EU Bookmakers 18%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.28/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
434 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Qviding FIF vs Jonsereds IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qviding FIF and Jonsereds IF couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Qviding FIF at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Qviding FIF vs Jonsereds IF?

Qviding FIF 3-3 Jonsereds IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qviding FIF vs Jonsereds IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qviding FIF win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Qviding FIF 57%, draw 18%, Jonsereds IF 25%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Qviding FIF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Qviding FIF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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