SPAL vs Gubbio Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SPAL v Gubbio — Team-Based Signals
SPAL vs Gubbio Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
SPAL
İTC
1-0
HT 1-0
Gubbio
İTC
SPAL 3-0 Gubbio — Actual Match Statistics
SPAL cruised past Gubbio 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) promised a tight game; SPAL found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
On the day, SPAL had 40% of the ball to Gubbio's 60%, shots finished 16-13.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, SPAL had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for SPAL and 0.25 for Gubbio.
What was the final score of SPAL vs Gubbio?
SPAL 3-0 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SPAL vs Gubbio?
Before kick-off our model rated a SPAL win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split SPAL 40%, draw 29%, Gubbio 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SPAL), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.