SSC Giugliano 1-2 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.62
Over 2.5
33%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
4.17
6+ Goals
7%
20.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 39% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.9pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
58%
+8.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
42%
-8.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.5pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.60/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.34
+38% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Giugliano
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Benevento
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Benevento Benevento 0-1 HT 0-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
16.03.2024 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-2 HT 1-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
13.11.2023 Benevento Benevento 2-2 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
04.10.2023 Benevento Benevento 2-2 HT 0-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
1-2
AWAY Benevento
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento squeezed past SSC Giugliano 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 34% / 28%) promised a tight game; Benevento found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 44% of the ball to Benevento's 56%, shots finished 6-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SSC Giugliano and 1.50 for Benevento.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs Benevento?

SSC Giugliano 1-2 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Giugliano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 38%, draw 34%, Benevento 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SSC Giugliano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
27 Apr 2025
17:30 Virtus Entella vs Ternana Analysis →
17:30 Milan II vs Vis Pesaro Analysis →
17:30 Pescara vs Campobasso Analysis →
17:30 Athletic Carpi vs Sestri Levante Analysis →
17:30 Perugia vs Pontedera Analysis →
17:30 Ascoli vs Legnago Salus Analysis →