SSC Giugliano 1-2 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 30% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+10.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
47%
-11.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.69/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.85
+61% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Giugliano
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Benevento
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
13.11.2023 Benevento Benevento 2-2 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
04.10.2023 Benevento Benevento 2-2 HT 0-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
1-2
AWAY Benevento
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento edged past SSC Giugliano 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Benevento found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 48% of the ball to Benevento's 52%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for SSC Giugliano and 2.00 for Benevento.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs Benevento?

SSC Giugliano 1-2 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Giugliano win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 37%, draw 28%, Benevento 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SSC Giugliano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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