FSV Zwickau 2-1 Babelsberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 32%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.99/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.26
+19% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Zwickau
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Babelsberg
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-2 HT 0-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
20.02.2024 Babelsberg Babelsberg 3-1 HT 2-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
01.11.2015 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-0 HT 0-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
29.11.2014 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-2 HT 0-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FSV Zwickau vs Babelsberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau nicked a narrow win over Babelsberg 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FSV Zwickau as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FSV Zwickau had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for FSV Zwickau and 1.00 for Babelsberg.

What was the final score of FSV Zwickau vs Babelsberg?

FSV Zwickau 2-1 Babelsberg in the Germany - Regional League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Zwickau vs Babelsberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a FSV Zwickau win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FSV Zwickau 43%, draw 26%, Babelsberg 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FSV Zwickau), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FSV Zwickau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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