MTK Budapest vs Ferencvaros Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MTK Budapest v Ferencvaros — Team-Based Signals
MTK Budapest vs Ferencvaros Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-6
HT 1-2
Ferencvaros
MAC
MTK Budapest 2-3 Ferencvaros — Actual Match Statistics
Ferencvaros edged past MTK Budapest 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, MTK Budapest had 50% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 50%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.61 to 2.03.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for MTK Budapest and 3.17 for Ferencvaros.
What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Ferencvaros?
MTK Budapest 2-3 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Ferencvaros?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 30%, draw 26%, Ferencvaros 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.