Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 32%
-21% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.96/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.35
-14% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2026 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-0 HT 2-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
29.08.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
20.05.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-2 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
08.12.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 HT 1-1 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
12.08.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1-1
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and Septemvri Sofia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 44% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 56%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 0.60 for Septemvri Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Septemvri Sofia?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 51%, draw 23%, Septemvri Sofia 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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