Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Municipal Liberia v Alajuelense — Team-Based Signals
Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Municipal Liberia 2-1 Alajuelense — Actual Match Statistics
Municipal Liberia edged past Alajuelense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Alajuelense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Municipal Liberia had 43% of the ball to Alajuelense's 57%, shots finished 10-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.00 for Alajuelense.
What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense?
Municipal Liberia 2-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 30%, draw 29%, Alajuelense 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alajuelense) went the other way.