Santos Laguna 3-0 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.58
6+ Goals
10%
6.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.8pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.38/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.36
+4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.8 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Monterrey
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.03 xG 1.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 396
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Monterrey Monterrey 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
03.03.2025 Monterrey Monterrey 4-2 HT 1-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
15.09.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-2 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
22.01.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-2 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
09.11.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 3-0 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
14.05.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
3-0
AWAY Monterrey
0.92 xG 0.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
219 Passes 276
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos Laguna swept aside Monterrey 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Santos Laguna made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 45% of the ball to Monterrey's 55%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.92 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Santos Laguna and 2.33 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Monterrey?

Santos Laguna 3-0 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 36%, draw 25%, Monterrey 39%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monterrey) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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