Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alanyaspor v Samsunspor — Team-Based Signals
Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Samsunspor
TSL
Alanyaspor 2-3 Samsunspor — Actual Match Statistics
Samsunspor squeezed past Alanyaspor 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Alanyaspor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Alanyaspor had 48% of the ball to Samsunspor's 52%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.10 to 1.54.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alanyaspor and 1.17 for Samsunspor.
What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?
Alanyaspor 2-3 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 44%, draw 26%, Samsunspor 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alanyaspor), Under 2.5 went the other way.