KA Akureyri vs Valur Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KA Akureyri v Valur — Team-Based Signals
KA Akureyri vs Valur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
KA Akureyri 2-5 Valur — Actual Match Statistics
Valur swept aside KA Akureyri 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, KA Akureyri had 48% of the ball to Valur's 52%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.46 to 1.88.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for KA Akureyri and 2.67 for Valur.
What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Valur?
KA Akureyri 2-5 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Valur?
Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 35%, draw 24%, Valur 41%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.