Stjarnan 1-4 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
65%
1.38
No
35%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
35%
4-5
34%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.9pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.3pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik The Market 40%
+10% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +27%
1.99/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.34
+40% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +65%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
12.2 Crosses 18.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Breidablik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.66 xG 1.54
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
324 Passes 280
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2025 Breidablik Breidablik 2-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
19.10.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
11.08.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-2 HT 1-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
21.05.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-1 HT 2-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
08.10.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 0-2 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
29.07.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 1-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik ran out comfortable winners over Stjarnan 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stjarnan and 1.50 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs Breidablik?

Stjarnan 1-4 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 32%, draw 27%, Breidablik 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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