Paderborn 07 II 1-1 Düren Merzenich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 32%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
2.00/2.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.24
+18% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn 07 II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Düren Merzenich
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 2-0 HT 1-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
02.09.2023 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 2-0 HT 1-0 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paderborn 07 II
1-1
AWAY Düren Merzenich
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Paderborn 07 II vs Düren Merzenich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn 07 II and Düren Merzenich couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Paderborn 07 II had 46% of the ball to Düren Merzenich's 54%, shots finished 16-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paderborn 07 II and 1.00 for Düren Merzenich.

What was the final score of Paderborn 07 II vs Düren Merzenich?

Paderborn 07 II 1-1 Düren Merzenich in the Germany - Regional League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn 07 II vs Düren Merzenich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn 07 II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 07 II 39%, draw 28%, Düren Merzenich 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paderborn 07 II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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