CSKA Moskova 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
15.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.14
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
14%
4.19
X/2
7%
10.3
X/X
8%
5.02
2/1
8%
24.2
2/2
13%
8.55
2/X
10%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.73/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.55
+19% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.2 Crosses 12.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.67 xG 1.29
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
386 Passes 269
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
22.10.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
28.09.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
27.08.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
20.04.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
30.07.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-3 HT 2-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
2-1
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.17 xG 1.61
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
389 Passes 252
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova edged past FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 58% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 42%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.17 to 1.61 — on chances, FC Akhmat Grozny could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.83 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

CSKA Moskova 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 50%, draw 24%, FC Akhmat Grozny 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
27 Jul 2025
17:30 FK Orenburg vs Makhachkala Analysis →
20:00 Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St. Petersburg Analysis →