CSKA Sofia 3-2 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2026

📅27/07/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 22%
-23% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.13/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.95
-26% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-1 HT 0-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
19.07.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-1 HT 1-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
26.05.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-4 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
09.05.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 3-0 HT 2-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
22.02.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-3 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
30.08.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
3-2
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
19 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 9
17 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
Match summary & frequently asked questions

CSKA Sofia edged past Botev Plovdiv 3-2 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 27 Jul 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, shots finished 19-17.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.50 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

CSKA Sofia 3-2 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 27/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 53%, draw 23%, Botev Plovdiv 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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