Hegelmann Litauen vs Zalgiris Vilnius Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hegelmann Litauen v Zalgiris Vilnius — Team-Based Signals
Hegelmann Litauen vs Zalgiris Vilnius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hegelmann Litauen 2-3 Zalgiris Vilnius — Actual Match Statistics
Zalgiris Vilnius squeezed past Hegelmann Litauen 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, shots finished 9-18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 1.17 for Zalgiris Vilnius.
What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs Zalgiris Vilnius?
Hegelmann Litauen 2-3 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Zalgiris Vilnius?
Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 23%, draw 23%, Zalgiris Vilnius 54%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.